The Steenland et al. 2002 paper
on "Pooled Analyses of Renal Disease Mortality and Crystalline Silica
Exposure in Three Cohorts"1 is very convincing of an
association between silicosis and renal disease, but it does not rule out
confounding variables. The role of confounding must be considered because of
our lack of knowledge about the pathophysiology of renal and autoimmune
diseases associated with silica exposure. "The pathogenesis of autoimmune
and renal disease in silica-exposed workers is not clear."2 As
Steenland says in a later paper published in 2005, "Overall the evidence
is still too sparse to be summarized as conclusive, but it seems very probable
that silica causes kidney disease."3 Steenland does not raise
the question about possible confounding variables in either paper.
What is confounding?
Figure 12-1 Interrelationship
between an exposure (E), confounding factor (CF), and disease (D).4
"The third alternative
explanation that must be considered is that an observed association (or lack
of one) is in fact due to a mixing of effects between the exposure, the
disease, and a third factor that is associated with the exposure and
independently affects the risk of developing the disease. This is referred to
as confounding, and the extraneous factor is called a confounding variable.
Confounding can lead to either
the observation of apparent differences between study groups when they do not
really exist or, conversely, the observation of no differences when they do
exist. For example, a number of observational epidemiologic studies have shown
an inverse relationship of consumption of vegetables rich in beta-carotene
with risk of cancer. While it may be the beta-carotene itself that is
responsible for this lower risk, it is also possible that the association is
confounded by other differences between consumers and nonconsumers of
vegetables. It may not be the beta-carotene at all, but rather another
component of vegetable such as fiber, which is known to reduce cancer risk,.
In addition, those who eat vegetables might also be younger or less likely to
eat fat or to smoke cigarettes, all of which in themselves might reduce cancer
risk. Thus, the observed decreased risk of cancer among those consuming large
amounts of vegetables rich in beta-carotene may be due, either totally or in
part, to the effect of these confounding factors."5
In this example, E =
beta-carotene; D = cancer; and CF = fiber.
"Intuitively, confounding
can be thought of as a mixing of the effect of the exposure under study on the
disease with that of a third factor. This third factor must be associated with
the exposure and, independent of that exposure, be a risk factor for the
disease. In such circumstances the observed relationship between the exposure
and disease can be attributable, totally or in part, to the effect of the
confounder. Confounding can lead to an overestimate or underestimate of the
true association between exposure and disease and can even change the
direction of the observed effect. For example, consider a study that showed a
relationship between increased level of physical activity and decreased risk
of myocardial infarction (MI). One additional variable that might affect the
observed magnitude of this association is age. People who exercise heavily
tend to be younger, as a group, than those who do not exercise. Moreover,
independent of exercise, younger individuals have a lower risk of MI than
older people. Thus, those who exercise could have a lower risk of MI quite
apart from any effect of this habit simple as a consequence of the greater
proportion of younger individuals in this group. In this circumstance, age
would confound the observed association between exercise and MI and result in
an overestimate of any inverse relationship."6
In this example, E = exercise; D
= MI; and CF = age.
Are
autoimmune diseases caused by infections?
Currently, there is a lack of
understanding about the nature of autoimmune diseases, some of which are
associated with silicosis. Since they are not fully understood, then there
could be confounding factors of which we are unaware. How about the role of
infections in causing autoimmune diseases? For rheumatoid arthritis,
"Purported triggers in addition to smoking have included bacteria (Mycobacteria,
Streptococcus, Mycoplasma, Escherichia coli, Helicobacter pylori), viruses
(rubella, Epstein-Barr virus, parvovirus), superantigens, and other undefined
factors."7 Also see "Cell Damage and Autoimmunity: A
Critical Appraisal"8 and "The role of infections in the
pathogenesis of autoimmune diseases."9
In this example E = silica
exposure; D = autoimmune diseases (including kidney disease); and CF =
infection;
Is the kidney disease
associated with silicosis autoimmune in type?
In the NIOSH Hazard Review, the
authors discuss together autoimmune and kidney diseases: "In addition to
these case reports, 13 post-1985 epidemiologic studies reported statistically
significant numbers of excess cases or deaths from known autoimmune disease or
immunologic disorders (scleroderma, systemic lupus erythematosus, rheumatoid
arthritis, and sarcoidosis), chronic renal disease, and subclinical renal
disease. . . . The pathogenesis of glomerulonephritis and other renal effects
in silica-exposed workers is not clear. . . . The cellular mechanism that
leads from silica exposure to autoimmune diseases is not known."10
Regarding the mechanism of the
kidney damage, Steenland et al. write in the 2002 paper, "an autoimmune
mechanism has been postulated, although direct toxicity to the kidney is also
possible. However, the silica-renal disease association is still not widely
accepted and the literature to date remains somewhat sparse."11
Could treatment of
silicosis with certain drugs be a confounding variable?
Another potential confounding
variable is the use of drugs for the treatment of silicosis. According to
Gerald S. Davis, the author of the "Silica" chapter in the Harber
textbook, "Corticosteroid treatment may be directed at reducing the
inflammatory response to silica through its actions on lymphocytes,
macrophages, and other cells. . . . A trial of daily prednisolone for 6 months
was carried out among 34 stone-crushing workers with silicosis in India."12
Side effects or corticosteroids include diabetes and increased risk of
infection,13 both of which could increase the prevalence of
diabetic and autoimmune kidney disease in the cohort compared to the control
population if one assumes that immune suppression could increase the risk of
infection-based autoimmune diseases.
Does silica-associated
tuberculosis help us with this question?
If infection is a confounding
variable that interacts with silica exposure and immune-based kidney disease,
then silica does not cause kidney disease in the same way that silica does not
cause tuberculosis. Infections are cause by microbial organisms, not minerals.
But as the Steenland et al. 2002 paper shows, silicosis is associated with
kidney disease and tuberculosis. There is some evidence that silica exposure
alone without silicosis is associated with tuberculosis, "Some evidence
indicates that workers who do not have silicosis but who have had long
exposures to silica dust may be at increased risk of developing TB. Two
epidemiologic studies reported that, compared with the general population, a
threefold incidence of TB cases occurred among 5,424 nonsilicotic,
silica-exposed Danish foundry workers employed 25 or more years."14
Because tuberculosis spreads after close human-to-human contact, this evidence
could be questioned--workers in foundries with active TB could spread it to
co-workers, including those with and without silicosis.
In a paper entitled
"Silicosis Mortality with Respiratory Tuberculosis in the United States,
1968-2006," the authors state, "This study has shown a significant
decline in silicosis-respiratory TB mortality in the United States during
1968-2006." and "While comorbidity and comortality with silicosis
and TB once represented such a prevalent scourge that 'silicotuberculosis' had
a discrete ICD code, 2006 marks the first year in which no
silicosis-respiratory TB deaths were recorded among residents of the United
States."15
If silica-exposed workers
had increased risk for kidney disease in the 1930s, do they now?
As seen in the previous section,
U.S. workers are no longer getting silicotuberculosis. Is it not likely, that
they are also no longer getting silicosis-associated kidney disease? The
cohorts examined by Steenland et al. in the 2002 paper were in three groups:
4626 industrial sand workers employed in 18 plants from the 1940s to the
1980s; 3348 gold miners employed for at least 1 year between 1940 and 1965;
5408 granite workers employed during 1950-82 and x-rayed at least once in a
silicosis surveillance program. "Follow-up for this cohort began at time
of first employment or 1950, whichever was later, and continued until death or
31 December 1994."16 Many in this cohort would have worked in
the 1930s and 1940s, in the early days before modern dust control measures
were enforced.
A later cohort studied by
Calvert et al. was based on 4 million death certificates from 27 states for
the period from 1982 to 1995. This study found no significant association
between crystalline silica exposure and several different renal diseases.17
NIOSH studied kidney disease in
gold miners. "The highest risk was in workers hired before 1930. In these
workers, we found 10 cases but expected 4 or 5. The risk was not increased in
workers hired after 1930."18
The author of the
"Silica" chapter in the Harber textbook writes, "Workers
employed before 1940 were exposed to high dust levels, exceeding 40 mppcf.
Workers employed after the institution of dust controls in 1940 were exposed
to levels below the current permissible exposure limit (PEL), less than 10
mppcf. Deaths due to silicosis and TB were common among workers hired before
1940, with SMRs that were 5 to 10 times those expected for the general U.S.
population. Virtually no deaths due to silicosis were observed among workers
who had exposure in the granite industry after dust control measures were
instituted. Pulmonary function was preserved in current granite workers, with
no loss over time beyond the expected effects of aging and smoking. Chest
radiographs from 972 workers revealed only 7 films with small rounded
opacities that were suggestive of silicosis, and all of these were of mild
degree."19
References
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Steenland
K, Mike Attfield
M, Mannejte
A. Pooled Analyses of Renal Disease Mortality
and Crystalline Silica Exposure in Three Cohorts. Ann Occup Hyg. 2002; 46
(suppl 1):4-9. Full text available at http://annhyg.oxfordjournals.org/content/46/suppl_1/4.abstract
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The
National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH).
NIOSH Hazard Review: Health Effects of Occupational Exposure to Respirable
Crystalline Silica, p. vi. Available at https://www.cdc.gov/niosh/docs/2002-129/pdfs/2002-129.pdf.
Accessed 11 September 2016.
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Steenland K. One agent, many diseases:
exposure-response data and comparative risks of different outcomes
following silica exposure. Am
J Ind Med. 2005; 48(1):16-23. [PMID
15940719]
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Hennekens CH, Buring JE. Epidemiology in
Medicine. Boston: Little, Brown and Company, 1987, p. 289.
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Hennekens CH, Buring JE. Epidemiology in
Medicine. Boston: Little, Brown and Company, 1987, p. 36.
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Hennekens CH, Buring JE. Epidemiology in
Medicine. Boston: Little, Brown and Company, 1987, p. 287-8.
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Goldman L, Schafer AI (eds). Cecil
Medicine, 24th Ed. Philadelphia: Elsevier, 2012.
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Mackay IR,
Leskovsek NV, Rose NR.
Cell damage and autoimmunity: a
critical appraisal. J
Autoimmun. 2008; 30(1-2):5-11. [PMID
18194728]
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Samarkos M, Vaiopoulos G. The role of infections in the pathogenesis of autoimmune
diseases. Curr Drug Targets Inflamm Allergy. 2005; 4(1):99-103. [PMID
15720242]
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The National Institute for
Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH). NIOSH Hazard Review:
Health Effects of Occupational Exposure to Respirable Crystalline Silica,
p. 68. Available at https://www.cdc.gov/niosh/docs/2002-129/pdfs/2002-129.pdf.
Accessed 11 September 2016.
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Steenland
K, Mike Attfield
M, Mannejte
A. Pooled Analyses of Renal Disease Mortality
and Crystalline Silica Exposure in Three Cohorts. Ann Occup Hyg. 2002; 46
(suppl 1):4-9.
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Harber P, Schenker MB, Balmes JR (eds).
Occupational and Environmental Respiratory Diseases. St. Louis: Mosby,
1996, p. 394.
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Mayo
Clinic. Prednisone and other corticosteroids: Side effects of oral
corticosteroids. Available at http://www.mayoclinic.org/steroids/art-20045692?pg=2.
Accessed 11 September 2016.
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The
National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH).
NIOSH Hazard Review: Health Effects of Occupational Exposure to Respirable
Crystalline Silica. Available at https://www.cdc.gov/niosh/docs/2002-129/pdfs/2002-129.pdf.
Accessed 11 September 2016, p. 34.
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Nasrullah M, Mazurek JM, Wood JM, Bang KM, Kreiss K. Silicosis mortality with respiratory tuberculosis in the
United States, 1968-2006. Am J
Epidemiol.
2011; 174(7):839-48. [PMID
21828370]
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Steenland
K, Mike Attfield
M, Mannejte
A. Pooled Analyses of Renal Disease Mortality
and Crystalline Silica Exposure in Three Cohorts. Ann Occup Hyg. 2002; 46
(suppl 1):4-9.
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Calvert GM, Rice FL, Boiano JM, Sheehy JW, Sanderson WT. Occupational silica exposure and risk
of various diseases: an analysis using death certificates from 27 states
of the United States. Occup Environ Med. 2003; 60(2):122-9. [PMID
12554840]
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The
National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH).
Gold Miners (Silica Exposure) (1). Available at http://www.cdc.gov/niosh/pgms/worknotify/goldminer.html.
Accessed 11 September 2016.
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Harber P, Schenker MB, Balmes JR (eds).
Occupational and Environmental Respiratory Diseases. St. Louis: Mosby,
1996, p. 386.
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May 30, 2018